Fig. 2

Incidence data estimated from the non-intervention model. A Time series of monthly PTB incidence from January 2005 to December 2020. The red line indicates the observed incidence before the COVID-19 outbreak. The sky blue line represents the observed incidence during the COVID-19 outbreak. The orange line denotes the incidence data between January 2020 and December 2020 as predicted from the non-intervention model. B The observed TB incidence (sky blue line) and the incidence predicted with the data before the COVID-19 outbreak (orange line) between January 2020 and December 2020