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Table 5 Characteristics of retrospective studies on venous thromboembolism prediction models

From: Venous thromboembolism in COVID-19 patients and prediction model: a multicenter cohort study

Study

Country

Study type, time period

Total number of cases

Venous thromboembolism incidence rate

Prediction model

Performance

Kampouri et al.

Switzerland

Retrospective, February 28th to April 30th, 2020

491

9.3%

Wells score for PE ≥ 2 points and D-dimer value ≥ 3,000 ng/mL

PPV: 18.2%

NPV: 98.5

Accuracy: 0.905

Dujardin et al.

Netherlands

Retrospective, March 13th to April 9th, 2020

127

41.7%

Binary linear regression model; D-dimer is > 9 μg/mL and C-reactive protein > 280 mg/mL

Predicted probability: 92%

Tsaplin et al.

Russia

Retrospective, April 30th to May 29th, 2020

168

6.5%

Modified Caprini score > 12; D-dimer > 3 upper limit of normal

Sensitivity: 73%; Specificity: 84%

Spyropoulos et al.

United States

Retrospective, March 1st, 2020 to April 27th, 2020

9407

2.9%

The International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism and D‐Dimer (IMPROVE‐DD) risk assessment model

AUC: 70%; sensitivity: 97%; specificity: 22%

Freund et al.

France, Spain, Belgium, Italy, Chile, and Canada

Retrospective, February 1st to April 10th, 2020

974

15%

Revised Geneva score and D-dimer [D-dimer below the age-adjusted threshold (i.e., 500 µg/mL under 50 years and age × 10 over 50 years)]

AUC: 0.81

  1. AUC area under the curve, NPV negative predictive value, PE pulmonary embolism, PPV positive predictive value