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Table 3 AUROC and calibration measures for scores and formulas from selected articles with cut-offs

From: Clinical prediction models for diagnosis of COVID-19 among adult patients: a validation and agreement study

 

qRT-PCR test

All

Positive

Negative

Discrimination and calibration results (Rubin’s rules)

        

Calibration

N

P50 (P25–P75)

N

P50 (P25–P75)

N

P50 (P25–P75)

AUROC (95CI%)

Brier score

Slope (95 CI%)

Intercept (95 CI%)

Vieceli et al

1475

 

492

 

983

     

 Score (0–9)

 

6 (4–7)

 

7 (6–9)

 

4 (4–6)

0.77 (0.74–0.79)

   

Model

      

0.77 (0.74–0.89)

0.18

0.55 (0.48–0.62)

− 0.00 (− 0.14 to 0.14)

Original value

     

0.85 (0.77–0.92)

   

Tordjman et al

1618

 

519

 

1099

     

 Score (0–5)

 

3 (2–4)

 

4 (3–5)

 

2 (1–4)

0.73 (0.71–0.76)

   

 Model

      

0.74 (0.72–0.77)

0.19

0.40 (0.35–0.46)

− 0.0 (− 0.14 to 0.14)

 Original value

     

0.92 (0.89–0.95)

   

Kurstjens et al

1472

 

489

 

983

     

 Score (0–14)

 

6 (3–14)

 

10 (7–12)

 

4 (2–6)

0.84 (0.83–0.87)

   

 Original value

     

0.94 (0.91–0.96)

   

Aldobyany et al

502

 

224

 

278

     

 Score (0–8)

 

4 (3–5)

 

5 (3.5–6)

 

3 (2–5)

0.60 (0.57–0.63)

   

 Original value

     

0.60 (0.57–0.64)

   

Nakakubo et al

1615

 

519

 

1096

     

 Score (0–11)

 

4 (3–6)

 

6 (5–6)

 

4 (3–5)

0.78 (0.76–0.81)

   

 Original value

     

/

   

Fink et al

564

 

259

 

305

 

0.78 (0.75–0.80)

0.18

1.13 (0.99–1.27)

0.00 (− 0.11 to 0.11)

 Model

          

 Original value

     

0.85 (0.81–0.90)