Determining target populations for leprosy prophylactic interventions: a hotspot analysis in Indonesia

Table 2 Sensitivity analysis

	Heatmap radius (m)	Cluster density¹	Number of clusters	Number of cases in cluster	Number cases in clusters		Proportion of new cases in the 2014–2016 clusters for:
	Heatmap radius (m)	Cluster density¹	2014–2016	2014–2016	2017	2018	2017 (%)	2018 (%)
Pamekasan	500	Low	77	354	52	25	19.8	20.7
		Moderate	11	96	16	1	6.1	0.8
		High	2	29	8	0	3.0	0.0
	1000	Low	70	566	122	53	46.4	43.8
		Moderate	24	208	30	16	11.4	13.2
		High	5	62	15	1	5.7	0.8
	1500	Low	26	677	191	79	72.6	65.3
		Moderate	24	208	80	44	30.4	36.4
		High	9	120	22	7	8.4	5.8
	2000	Low	8	727	225	108	85.6	89.3
		Moderate	21	519	152	68	57.8	56.2
		High	9	207	42	27	16.0	22.3
	2500	Low	1	751	247	116	93.9	95.9
		Moderate	10	632	194	87	73.8	71.9
		High	14	312	85	49	32.3	40.5
Pasuruan	500	Low	52	302	48	22	21.2	10.9
		Moderate	13	94	8	4	3.5	2.0
		High	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0
	1000	Low	36	444	101	71	44.7	35.3
		Moderate	18	225	48	27	21.2	13.4
		High	7	75	9	5	4.0	2.5
	1500	Low	14	527	146	107	64.6	53.2
		Moderate	12	333	92	63	40.7	31.3
		High	9	172	32	24	14.2	11.9
	2000	Low	8	564	167	124	73.9	61.7
		Moderate	11	426	121	90	53.5	44.8
		High	9	268	77	53	34.1	26.4
	2500	Low	5	584	185	149	81.9	74.1
		Moderate	5	496	148	103	65.5	51.2
		High	7	350	109	74	48.2	36.8

The proportion of cases in 2017 and 2018 identified in the clusters of 2014–2016 by heatmap radius and cluster density
¹Cluster density based on the cut-off values ≥ 2 (low density), ≥ 5 (moderate density), and ≥ 10 (high density)