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Table 3 Accumulated numbers of recovered, vaccinated, hospitalized, and deceased individuals after a random mass vaccination strategy of 150 days, when the proportion of individuals that has already had contact with the virus ranges from 5% to 30% of the population, whereas reports represent only 5%

From: COVID-19 underreporting and its impact on vaccination strategies

Contained spread

 Proportion

5%

10%

15 %

20%

25%

30%

 Initial recovered

117,704

237,730

357,756

477,782

597,808

717,834

 Total recovered

195,683

377,439

542,234

696,487

842,935

983,440

 Total vaccinated

1,808,276

1,537,035

1,446,621

1,356,207

1,265,794

1,175,380

 Hospitalizations

3192

4847

5993

6625

6892

6893

 Deaths

82

120

147

162

167

167

Uncontained spread

 Proportion

5%

10%

15 %

20%

25%

30%

 Initial recoverd

117,181

236,675

356,168

475,661

595,154

714,648

 Total recovered

428,580

697,122

866,907

1,006,654

1,130,436

1,244,991

 Total vaccinated

1,800,249

1,530,212

1,440,200

1,350,187

1,260,175

1,170,162

 Hospitalizations

13,107

16,418

17,063

16,554

15,500

14,185

 Deaths

200

250

259

251

235

215