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Table 1 Fitting results on the relation between the daily increase rate and the number of cumulative cases using the linear Eq. 3

From: Modeling analysis reveals the transmission trend of COVID-19 and control efficiency of human intervention

Countries

Cumulative cases

Time (days)

a

b (× 105)

p

r2

a

b

p

r2

China

0.3239

− 0.4281

0.0000

0.79

0.3656

− 0.0098

0.0000

0.77

R. Korea

0.3886

− 4.4526

0.0000

0.79

0.3208

− 0.0103

0.0000

0.60

Italy

0.2482

− 0.1964

0.0000

0.57

0.3329

− 0.0080

0.0000

0.73

Spain

0.2807

− 0.2004

0.0000

0.64

0.3624

− 0.0093

0.0000

0.69

Germany

0.2506

− 0.2332

0.0000

0.37

0.3149

− 0.0074

0.0000

0.37

France

0.2494

− 0.3134

0.0000

0.44

0.3338

− 0.0085

0.0000

0.59

Iran

0.2465

− 0.4533

0.0000

0.40

0.3303

− 0.0089

0.0000

0.60

  1. a and b are the model coefficients defined in Eq. 3. p represents the significance of the model fit and r2 represents goodness of the fit