Season | El Niño | AUC (95% CI) | |
---|---|---|---|
Stage 1 | S | – | 0.901 (0.874, 0.929) |
W | – | 0.885 (0.853, 0.918) | |
S | Y | 0.877 (0.842, 0.913) | |
S | N | 0.859 (0.795, 0.922) | |
W | Y | 0.914 (0.883, 0.944) | |
W | N | 0.927 (0.904, 0.950) | |
Stage 2 | S | – | 0.867 (0.828, 0.905) |
W | – | 0.824 (0.767, 0.882) | |
S | Y | 0.758 (0.689, 0.827) | |
S | N | 0.905 (0.862, 0.949) | |
W | Y | 0.889 (0.851, 0.927) | |
W | N | 0.866 (0.822, 0.910) | |
Stage 3 | S | – | 0.673 (0.598, 0.747) |
W | – | 0.608 (0.526, 0.690) | |
S | Y | 0.580 (0.490, 0.670) | |
S | N | 0.679 (0.530, 0.828) | |
W | Y | 0.658 (0.564, 0.753) | |
W | N | 0.614 (0.521, 0.707) |