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Table 3 Logistic model results

From: A novel approach to modeling epidemic vulnerability, applied to Aedes aegypti-vectored diseases in Perú

  Season El Niño OR (95% CI)
Stage 1 S 5.17 (3.94, 7.22)
W 5.39 (4.05, 7.67)
S Y 5.56 (4.18, 7.94)
S N 3.74 (2.68, 5.70)
W Y 5.19 (3.77, 7.83)
W N 5.33 (3.97, 7.75)
Stage 2 S 3.74 (3.00, 4.89)
W 3.60 (2.91, 4.64)
S Y 3.69 (2.95, 4.82)
S N 2.89 (2.28, 3.87)
W Y 3.45 (2.72, 4.56)
W N 3.46 (2.78, 4.51)
Stage 3 S 1.57 (1.35, 1.84)
W 1.62 (1.41, 1.89)
S Y 1.50 (1.29, 1.75)
S N 1.54 (1.27, 1.88)
W Y 1.49 (1.26, 1.79)
W N 1.54 (1.33, 1.80)
  1. Outcome parameterized as one or more outbreaks in a given district over January 2016–September 2018. Stage 1: index case potential; stage 2: outbreak receptivity; stage 3: epidemic potential. OR odds ratio, CI posterior credible interval, S summer, W winter, Y yes, N no