Time series analysis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in mainland China by using an XGBoost forecasting model

Table 1 CAIC value and Ljung-Box Q value of the candidate seasonal ARIMA models

Model	CAIC	Ljung-Box Q	P value
ARIMA (0,1,3) × (1,1,1)₁₂	429.244	7.091	0.994
ARIMA (0,1,3) × (1,1,0)₁₂	427.345	7.429	0.995
ARIMA (0,1,3) × (0,1,1)₁₂	428.220	12.07	0.914
ARIMA (3,1,0) × (1,1,1)₁₂	429.108	7.347	0.992
ARIMA (3,1,0) × (1,1,0)₁₂	427.154	7.559	0.994
ARIMA (3,1,0) × (0,1,1)₁₂	427.666	12.552	0.896
ARIMA (3,1,3) × (1,1,1)₁₂	430.864	7.068	0.972
ARIMA (3,1,3) × (1,1,0)₁₂	428.906	7.333	0.979
ARIMA (3,1,3) × (0,1,1)₁₂	429.528	12.340	0.779

ISSN: 1471-2334