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Table 2 A summary of models, data descriptions, reported estimates of the basic/effective reproductive number

From: Estimating effects of intervention measures on COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan taking account of improving diagnostic capabilities using a modelling approach

Ref.

Model

Data (study period)

Basic (R0) or effective (Re) reproduction number

Li et al. [1]

stochastic standard susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model

daily onset cases in Wuhan, China (December 10–January 4, 2020)

2.2 (95% CI: 1.4–3.9)

Jonathan et al. [5]

deterministic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) metapopulation model

daily reported cases in Wuhan, China (January 1–January 22, 2020)

3.11 (95% CI: 2.39–4.13)

Tian et al. [6]

deterministic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model

daily reported cases in 262 cities in China, including Wuhan (December 31, 2019 - February 19, 2020)

3.15 (95% CI: 3.04–3.26, before the implementation of the transportation restrictions);

0.97–3.05 (after control was scaled-up from 23 January onward)

Majumder et al. [37]

incidence decay and exponential adjustment (IDEA) model

daily reported cases in Wuhan, China (December 1, 2019 - January 26, 2020)

2.54–3.61

Kucharski et al. [13]

meta-population stochastic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model

daily onset cases in Wuhan and internationally exported cases from Wuhan, China (December 1, 2019 - February 10, 2020)

2.35 (95% CI: 1.15–4.77, 1 week before transportation restrictions were introduced); 1.05 (95% CI: 0.41–2.39, 1 week after transportation restrictions were introduced)