Ref. | Model | Data (study period) | Basic (R0) or effective (Re) reproduction number |
---|---|---|---|
Li et al. [1] | stochastic standard susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model | daily onset cases in Wuhan, China (December 10–January 4, 2020) | 2.2 (95% CI: 1.4–3.9) |
Jonathan et al. [5] | deterministic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) metapopulation model | daily reported cases in Wuhan, China (January 1–January 22, 2020) | 3.11 (95% CI: 2.39–4.13) |
Tian et al. [6] | deterministic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model | daily reported cases in 262 cities in China, including Wuhan (December 31, 2019 - February 19, 2020) | 3.15 (95% CI: 3.04–3.26, before the implementation of the transportation restrictions); 0.97–3.05 (after control was scaled-up from 23 January onward) |
Majumder et al. [37] | incidence decay and exponential adjustment (IDEA) model | daily reported cases in Wuhan, China (December 1, 2019 - January 26, 2020) | 2.54–3.61 |
Kucharski et al. [13] | meta-population stochastic susceptible-exposed infectious-recovered (SEIR) model | daily onset cases in Wuhan and internationally exported cases from Wuhan, China (December 1, 2019 - February 10, 2020) | 2.35 (95% CI: 1.15–4.77, 1 week before transportation restrictions were introduced); 1.05 (95% CI: 0.41–2.39, 1 week after transportation restrictions were introduced) |