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Table 3 Annual percentage change in incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Shandong, China, 2005–2017

From: Population aging and trends of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the elderly

 

Period

Trend

APC (95% CI)

P-value

Total(≥60)

2005–2007

Stable

6.9(−5.7, 21.3)

0.3

2007–2017

Decrease

−5.3(−6.2,-4.4)

<0.05

Sex

 Male

2005–2007

Stable

6.5(−7.1,22.1)

0.3

2007–2017

Decrease

−5.6(−6.6,-4.6)

<0.05

 Female

2005–2007

Stable

8.8(−5.0,24.6)

0.2

2007–2017

Decrease

−4.3(− 5.3,-3.4)

<0.05

Patients type

 Bacteriologically confirmed PTB

2005–2010

Decrease

−7.2(−9.8,-4.4)

<0.05

2010–2014

Decrease

−22.6(−28.7,-15.9)

<0.05

2014–2017

Stable

−9.0(−18.4,1.5)

0.1

 Clinically diagnosed PTB

2005–2007

Stable

46.8(−30.2208.4)

0.2

2007–2014

Increase

9.4(1.8,17.5)

<0.05

2014–2017

Stable

−5.6(−20.4,11.9)

0.4

Total(<60)

2005–2008

Increase

7.8(2.9,13.0)

<0.05

2008–2014

Decrease

−3.7(−5.6,-1.7)

<0.05

2014–2017

Decrease

−8.0(−12.7,-3.1)

<0.05

Sex

 Male

2005–2008

Increase

8.1(2.9,13.5)

<0.05

2008–2014

Decrease

−3.4(−5.4,-1.3)

<0.05

2014–2017

Decrease

−7.7(−12.5,-2.6)

<0.05

 Female

2005–2008

Increase

7.3(2.5,12.3)

<0.05

2008–2014

Decrease

−4.4(−6.3,-2.5)

<0.05

2014–2017

Decrease

−8.8(−13.5,-3.9)

<0.05

Patients type

 Bacteriologically confirmed PTB

2005–2010

Decrease

−4.9(−8.4,-1.3)

<0.05

2010–2017

Decrease

−20.7(−23.6,-17.6)

<0.05

 Clinically diagnosed PTB

2005–2008

Increase

33.2(18.4,49.9)

<0.05

2008–2014

Increase

7.8(4.0,11.7)

<0.05

2014–2017

Stable

−6.6(−13.4,0.7)

0.1

  1. APC Annual percent change, PTB Pulmonary tuberculosis