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Table 3 Annual percentage change in incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Shandong, China, 2005–2017

From: Population aging and trends of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the elderly

  Period Trend APC (95% CI) P-value
Total(≥60) 2005–2007 Stable 6.9(−5.7, 21.3) 0.3
2007–2017 Decrease −5.3(−6.2,-4.4) <0.05
Sex
 Male 2005–2007 Stable 6.5(−7.1,22.1) 0.3
2007–2017 Decrease −5.6(−6.6,-4.6) <0.05
 Female 2005–2007 Stable 8.8(−5.0,24.6) 0.2
2007–2017 Decrease −4.3(− 5.3,-3.4) <0.05
Patients type
 Bacteriologically confirmed PTB 2005–2010 Decrease −7.2(−9.8,-4.4) <0.05
2010–2014 Decrease −22.6(−28.7,-15.9) <0.05
2014–2017 Stable −9.0(−18.4,1.5) 0.1
 Clinically diagnosed PTB 2005–2007 Stable 46.8(−30.2208.4) 0.2
2007–2014 Increase 9.4(1.8,17.5) <0.05
2014–2017 Stable −5.6(−20.4,11.9) 0.4
Total(<60) 2005–2008 Increase 7.8(2.9,13.0) <0.05
2008–2014 Decrease −3.7(−5.6,-1.7) <0.05
2014–2017 Decrease −8.0(−12.7,-3.1) <0.05
Sex
 Male 2005–2008 Increase 8.1(2.9,13.5) <0.05
2008–2014 Decrease −3.4(−5.4,-1.3) <0.05
2014–2017 Decrease −7.7(−12.5,-2.6) <0.05
 Female 2005–2008 Increase 7.3(2.5,12.3) <0.05
2008–2014 Decrease −4.4(−6.3,-2.5) <0.05
2014–2017 Decrease −8.8(−13.5,-3.9) <0.05
Patients type
 Bacteriologically confirmed PTB 2005–2010 Decrease −4.9(−8.4,-1.3) <0.05
2010–2017 Decrease −20.7(−23.6,-17.6) <0.05
 Clinically diagnosed PTB 2005–2008 Increase 33.2(18.4,49.9) <0.05
2008–2014 Increase 7.8(4.0,11.7) <0.05
2014–2017 Stable −6.6(−13.4,0.7) 0.1
  1. APC Annual percent change, PTB Pulmonary tuberculosis
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