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Table 1 Performance of the sick-leave model to detect ILI outbreaks

From: Monitoring sick leave data for early detection of influenza outbreaks

 

Sensitivity per episode

Positive predictive value

Detection time (weeks) before ILI peak

Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes

0.5

0.2

7

Bourgogne-Franche-Comte

0.5

0.2

11

Bretagne

1

1

2.5

Centre-Val de Loire

1

0.5

6.5

Grand Est

1

0.5

5

Hauts-de-France

1

0.5

7

Ile-de-France

1

1

3

Normandie

1

0.33

6

Nouvelle-Aquitaine

1

0.5

6.5

Occitanie

1

1

3

Pays de la Loire

1

0.5

6.5

Provence-Alpes-Cote-d’Azur

1

0.66

6.5

Total mean

0.92

0.58

5.88

  1. For each region, the values of these indicators are averaged over the 2 years evaluated