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Table 7 Influenza Diagnostic Algorithm Performance Including the following Symptoms: Fever> = 38 °C + Cough + Nasal discharge

From: Performance of case definitions and clinical predictors for influenza surveillance among patients followed in a rural cohort in Senegal

Case definition

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV*

NPV

P-values

Fever >=38°+ Cough + Nasal discharge

% (95% CI)

% (95% CI)

% (95% CI)

% (95% CI)

 

All cases (n=1653)

65.0 (60.0–70.0)

72.0 (69.5–74.4)

40.0 (36.1–40.0)

88.2 (86.2–90.1)

< 0.0001

Age groups (years)

 0 - <  2

59.1 (44.6–73.6)

60.0 (54.0–66.0)

20.0 (13.1–27.0)

89.5 (85.0–94.1)

< 0.01

 2 - <  5

69.2 (59.0–79.4)

60.6 (55.0–66.4)

33.1 (26.0–40.3)

87.5 (83.0–92.2)

< 0.001

 5 - <  15

69.0 (61.0–77.0)

77.5 (73.6–81.5)

48.0 (41.0–55.2)

89.3 (86.2–92.4)

< 0.001

 15 - < 50

56.5 (46.0–67.0)

84.3 (80.1–88.6)

52.2 (42.0–62.4)

87.0 (82.5–90.5)

< 0.001

 ≥ 50

71.4 (52.1–91.0)

81.2 (70.1–92.2)

62.5 (43.1–82.0)

87.0 (77.2–97.0)

0.16

  1. PPV* Positive Predictive Value, NPV Negative Predictive Value