Fig. 5

Effect of isolating cases. The panels show the number of infected (I), susceptible (S), and dead (D) individuals at time t, respectively, for different percentages of symptomatic cases being isolated (a-c), isolation ward capacity per 10,000 inhabitants (d-f) and percentage of contact reduction in home isolation (g-i). The case-isolation measures are implemented on day 30 and last until the end of the simulation. No general contact-reducing measures are assumed. Panels (a)-(c) assume that home isolation reduces 75% of the contacts of the isolated cases; the capacity of quarantine wards is set to 200 per 10,000; the percentages of symptomatic cases which are isolated are shown by different colors. Panels (d)-(f) assume that 66% of symptomatic cases are detected and isolated; home isolation prevents 75% of contacts; the capacities of quarantine wards per 10,000 are shown by different colors. Panels (h)-(i) assume a capacity of quarantine wards of 200 per 10,000; 66% of symptomatic cases are detected and isolated; percentages of contact reductions in home isolation are displayed in different colors. The parameters used are listed in Tables 2 and 3