From: Feasibility of containing shigellosis in Hubei Province, China: a modelling study
Stages | Epidemic seasons selected | Sub-seasons included | Number of reported cases included | b | Reff | R2 | P | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IDa | Start time | Stop time | |||||||
Stage 1 | 2005–2006 | 1 | February 14, 2005 | July 26, 2005 | 6189 | 0.0900 | 1.19 | 0.94 | <  0.001 |
2 | July 27, 2005 | August 28, 2005 | 1917 | 0.0805 | 1.07 | 0.01 | 0.5570 | ||
3 | August 29, 2005 | September 27, 2005 | 1917 | 0.0911 | 1.21 | 0.87 | <  0.001 | ||
4 | September 28, 2005 | February 2, 2006 | 3684 | 0.0649 | 0.86 | 0.98 | <  0.001 | ||
Stage 2 | 2010–2011 | 1 | January 31, 2010 | July 28, 2010 | 5896 | 0.0853 | 1.13 | 0.97 | <  0.001 |
2 | July 29, 2010 | September 9, 2010 | 2321 | 0.0833 | 1.10 | 0.73 | <  0.001 | ||
3 | September 10, 2010 | February 11, 2011 | 4305 | 0.0689 | 0.91 | 0.99 | <  0.001 | ||
Stage 3 | 2013–2014 | 1 | January 23, 2013 | May 16, 2013 | 1643 | 0.0818 | 1.08 | 0.78 | <  0.001 |
2 | May 17, 2013 | July 23, 2013 | 1558 | 0.0912 | 1.21 | 0.97 | <  0.001 | ||
3 | July 24, 2013 | September 2, 2013 | 1132 | 0.0826 | 1.09 | 0.07 | 0.0917 | ||
4 | September 3, 2013 | October 3, 2013 | 675 | 0.0748 | 0.99 | 0.89 | <  0.001 | ||
5 | October 4, 2013 | October 9, 2013 | 164 | 0.1449 | 1.92 | 0.75 | 0.0266 | ||
6 | October 10, 2013 | February 25, 2014 | 1826 | 0.0694 | 0.92 | 0.98 | <  0.001 | ||
Stage 4 | 2016–2017 | 1 | December 8, 2016 | March 17, 2017 | 694 | 0.0758 | 1.00 | 0.54 | <  0.001 |
2 | March 18, 2017 | June 12, 2017 | 953 | 0.0925 | 1.22 | 0.95 | <  0.001 | ||
3 | June 13, 2017 | July 11, 2017 | 381 | 0.0774 | 1.03 | 0.69 | <  0.001 | ||
4 | July 12, 2017 | August 9, 2017 | 412 | 0.0910 | 1.20 | 0.78 | <  0.001 | ||
5 | August 10, 2017 | December 31, 2017 | 1247 | 0.0712 | 0.94 | 0.94 | <  0.001 |