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Table 2 The optimal ARIMA model in different regions of China

From: Effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of mumps and models for prediction, China

Regions Model Fitting effect LBQ test
R2 Stable R2 SBC Q P
North China (0,1,0) (1,0,1)12 0.820 0.830 −1.663 14.257 0.506
East China (0,1,0) (0,1,1)12 0.858 0.389 − 1.836 22.050 0.107
South China (0,1,0) (1,0,0)12 0.884 0.108 −1.127 25.607 0.082
Central China (0,1,0) (1,0,1)12 0.856 0.393 −1.767 17.171 0.375
Southwest (0,1,0) (2,0,1)12 0.854 0.700 −1.327 22.808 0.088
Northwest (1,1,1) (0,0,0)12 0.814 0.818 −0.109 22.237 0.102
Northeast (0,1,0) (1,0,1)12 0.822 0.166 −1.749 14.557 0.627
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