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Table 4 Forecasts for the 2013 and 2014 cholera seasons

From: Comparing alternative cholera vaccination strategies in Maela refugee camp: using a transmission model in public health practice

Scenario

Median Total Cases

(25%, 75% quantiles)

2013 Forecasts - Fully Susceptible Population

No OCV

333.3

(15.1, 540)

With OCV

0.2

(0.1, 11)

2013 Forecasts - Partially Immune Population

No OCV

139.9

(0.3, 364.9)

With OCV

0.1

(0.1, 0.4)

2014 Forecasts

With OCV - Fully Susceptible Pop.

0.4

(0.1, 158.8)

With OCV - Partially Immune Pop.

0.3

(0.1, 101)