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Table 4 Forecasts for the 2013 and 2014 cholera seasons

From: Comparing alternative cholera vaccination strategies in Maela refugee camp: using a transmission model in public health practice

ScenarioMedian Total Cases(25%, 75% quantiles)
2013 Forecasts - Fully Susceptible Population
No OCV333.3(15.1, 540)
With OCV0.2(0.1, 11)
2013 Forecasts - Partially Immune Population
No OCV139.9(0.3, 364.9)
With OCV0.1(0.1, 0.4)
2014 Forecasts
With OCV - Fully Susceptible Pop.0.4(0.1, 158.8)
With OCV - Partially Immune Pop.0.3(0.1, 101)