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Table 4 Risk Factors for early mortality (within 30 days)

From: Early and late mortality after malaria in young children in Papua, Indonesia

 

Anaemia included in the model (n = 8680)

Anaemia excluded from the model (n = 15,703)

Characteristics

Risk (Events/total cases)

Univariable Analysis

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

p value

Multivariable Analysis

Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)

p value

PAF %

(95% CI)

Multivariable Analysis

Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)

p value

PAF %

(95% CI)

Age Group

  > =1 to <=5

0.7 (83/11155)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

  < 1

1.0 (46/4561)

1.36 (0.95, 1.95)

0.097

1.08 (0.72, 1.61)

0.709

2.42 (−11.32,14.47)

1.24 (0.86, 1.80)

0.246

6.94 (−5.97,18.28)

Gender

 Female

0.8 (62/7462)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

 Male

0.8 (67/8254)

0.98 (0.69, 1.38)

0.893

0.92 (0.64, 1.33)

0.662

−4.40 (−26.19,13.62)

0.96 (0.68, 1.36)

0.813

−2.21 (−22.31,14.58)

Ethnicitya

 Non Papuan

1.5 (17/1100)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

 Highland

0.7 (83/11714)

0.46 (0.27, 0.77)

0.003

0.39 (0.23, 0.67)

< 0.001

−96.50 (−192.11,-32.18)

0.51 (0.30, 0.87)

0.013

−59.72 (−133.26,-9.36)

 Lowland

1.0 (29/2889)

0.65 (0.35, 1.17)

0.152

0.45 (0.24, 0.85)

0.014

−25.96 (−53.50,-3.37)

0.60 (0.33, 1.10)

0.098

−14.67 (−36.25, 3.48)

Inpatient Status

 Outpatient

0.3 (33/12192)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

 Inpatient

2.7 (96/ 3524)

10.18 (6.85, 15.12)

< 0.001

4.29 (2.69, 6.86)

< 0.001

60.02 (43.07,71.93)

8.22 (5.37,12.57)

< 0.001

66.56 (54.43,75.46)

Anaemia

 Hb > = 7 g/dl

1.0 (60/6013)

Reference

 

Reference

  

–

–

–

 Hb < 7 g/dl

2.0 (54/2674)

2.03 (1.41, 2.94)

< 0.001

1.56 (1.05, 2.30)

0.027

17.49 (0.31,31.71)

–

–

–

Malnourished

 Normal

0.7 (102/15497)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

 Undernourished

12.3 (27/ 219)

19.65 (12.86, 30.04)

< 0.001

9.19 (5.82,14.49)

< 0.001

22.38 (13.37,30.45)

8.88 (5.66,13.92)

< 0.001

19.93 (11.81,27.31)

Species at Presentation

 P. falciparum

1.0 (60/6184)

Reference

 

Reference

  

Reference

  

 P. vivax

0.7 (56/7499)

0.77 (0.53, 1.11)

0.157

1.05 (0.70, 1.57)

0.824

1.92 (−16.59,17.50)

1.02 (0.69, 1.49)

0.935

0.67 (− 16.96,15.64)

 Mix

0.7 (13/1827)

0.73 (0.40, 1.34)

0.311

0.63 (0.32, 1.21)

0.166

−5.59 (−12.73, 1.10)

0.65 (0.36, 1.21)

0.175

−5.24 (− 12.19, 1.29)

  1. All multivariable models were stratified by year. In view of the change in antimalarial treatment policy in 2006 and collinearity of year and treatment, oral and intravenous therapy received was not entered in the multivariable models. PAF population attributable fraction. a Data missing for 13 children