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Table 4 Comparison of the fitting and forecasting accuracy of the three models

From: Time series analysis of human brucellosis in mainland China by using Elman and Jordan recurrent neural networks

performance index

Training set

 

Test set

ARIMA

Elman

Jordan

 

ARIMA

Elman

Jordan

RMSE

405.746

297.181

361.283

 

1050.018

684.450

561.442

MAE

294.190

231.061

287.370

 

873.840

502.926

374.737

MAPE

0.112

0.115

0.113

 

0.236

0.156

0.113