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Table 4 variable assignment in Markov decision tree

From: Cost-effectiveness of option B+ in prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Yunnan Province, China

Variable name

Meaning standed for

Base value

Lower value

Upper value

P350TO200_350

NO ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 > 350 to 200–350 cells/μl

0.02570

0.02890

0.01190

PREART

Coverage rate of ART

0.70000

0.45000

0.90000

PRE200_350TO350

On ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 200–350 to > 350 cells/μl

0.05690

0.02470

0.08880

P200_350REDEATH

Monthly probability death of on ART, CD4 200-350cells/μl

0.00052

0.00010

0.00068

P200_350NOART200

STOP ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 200–350 to < 200 cells/μl

0.01880

0.01860

0.02740

P350STOPART200_350

STOP ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 > 350 to 200–350 cells/μl

0.02570

0.01190

0.02890

P350STOPARTDEATH

Monthly probability death of stopping ART, CD4 > 350cells/μl

0.00060

0.00060

0.00070

P200_350TO200

No ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 200–350 to < 200 cells/μl

0.01880

0.01860

0.02740

P200RE200_350ART

On ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 < 200 to 200–350 cells/μl

0.02930

0.02740

0.06830

P200DEATHART

Monthly probability death of on ART, CD4 200 cells/μl

0.00470

0.00130

0.00620

P200DEATHNOART

Monthly probability death of off ART, CD4 200 cells/μl

0.02470

0.00930

0.02470

P200_350NOARTDEATH

Monthly probability death of off ART, CD4 200-350cells/μl

0.00272

0.00000

0.00272

PART200_350TO350

On ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 200–350 to > 350 cells/μl

0.05690

0.02470

0.08880

PNOART350TO200_350

No ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 > 350 to 200–350 cells/μl

0.02570

0.01190

0.02890

P350NOARTDEATH

Monthly probability death of off ART, CD4 > 350cells/μl

0.00060

0.00060

0.00070

P200ART200_350

Starting ART, monthly probability of moving from CD4 < 200 to 200–350 cells/μl

0.02930

0.02740

0.06830