From: A maximum curvature method for estimating epidemic onset of seasonal influenza in Japan
Parameters | Methods | 2012/2013 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2016/2017 | 2017/2018 | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Onseta (weeks) | ETM | 16.4 | 17.0 | 13.9 | 19.3 | 12.2 | 12.6 | 15.2 |
SRM | 18.9 | 19.2 | 15.8 | 20.6 | 17.9 | 17.1 | 18.2 | |
MCM | 16.0 | 17.0 | 13.2 | 18.5 | 12.7 | 12.4 | 15.0 | |
End (weeks) | ETM | 38.7 | 37.7 | 36.5 | 37.6 | 37.7 | 34.3 | 37.1 |
SRM | 29.4 | 34.6 | 26.5 | 34.4 | 30.1 | 29.4 | 30.7 | |
MCM | 34.3 | 37.5 | 32.4 | 38.1 | 36.3 | 34.1 | 35.5 | |
Duration (weeks) | ETM | 23.0 | 21.8 | 23.5 | 19.1 | 26.3 | 22.6 | 22.7 |
SRM | 11.5 | 16.3 | 11.7 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.5 | |
MCM | 19.3 | 21.6 | 20.2 | 20.6 | 24.6 | 22.7 | 21.5 | |
Onset intensityb | ETM | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
SRM | 4.25 | 3.90 | 5.08 | 3.30 | 7.95 | 9.87 | 5.72 | |
MCM | 0.70 | 0.87 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 1.13 | 0.84 | 0.78 | |
Ending intensity | ETM | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
SRM | 7.39 | 4.04 | 8.74 | 5.13 | 8.05 | 8.06 | 6.90 | |
MCM | 1.99 | 1.07 | 1.96 | 0.66 | 1.67 | 1.01 | 1.40 | |
Dominant subtypec | A(H3) | A(H1N1)pdm09 | A(H3) | A(H1N1)pdm09 | A(H3) | B/Yamagata | – |