Fig. 3

Epidemic curves for the three scenarios in Montgomery county, Virginia. Here, the vertical axis shows the prevalence of Influenza in the population. “Base Case, no interventions” refers to the baseline scenario where we simulate the influenza epidemic without any interventions. “With predictors” refers to the scenario where compliance levels are measured by the MNL model and “no predictors” refers to the scenario where compliance is not determined by demographics, and only average level of compliance is applied. For the last two scenarios, three levels of vaccine efficacy (i.e., 20%, 40% and 60%) were considered