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Fig. 3 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 3

From: Modeling tuberculosis dynamics with the presence of hyper-susceptible individuals for Ho Chi Minh City from 1996 to 2015

Fig. 3

Model fit under hypothesis H4. In panels (a, b, c, e, and f), he dots (red and black) are the data. The continuous lines (red and black) show the reconstructed dynamics using parameters estimated by Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). In panel (d), the black and red bar shows the uninfected proportion inferred from our model and IGRA data respectively. The gray bar shows the confidence interval of uninfected proportion computed from our IGRA data with assumption of binomial distribution. In panel (f), the red and black graphs (correspond to left and right y-axis) show the TB notifications of G1 group and the total population respectively. The TB notifications of G1 group are inferred by combining data set D1 and D3. Panel (g and h) shows the AIDS data and reconstructed hyper-susceptible individual curve

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