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Table 4 The clusters of mumps cases detected by using the space-time scan statistics

From: Spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal analysis of mumps in Guangxi Province, China, 2005–2016

Cluster type

Time frame

Radius (km2)

Cluster areas (n)

Observed

Expected

ODE

LLR

RR

P value

Most likely

2011/5–2012/11

140.70

14

8735

2463.95

3.55

4880.04

3.66

< 0.001

Secondary

2009/5–2011/8

89.14

15

11,050

3791.62

2.91

4691.20

3.02

< 0.001

2nd Secondary

2010/5–2012/7

66.71

8

10,862

3898.21

2.79

4286.84

2.88

< 0.001

3rd Secondary

2007/12–2009/4

21.08

3

2027

313.37

6.47

2077.72

6.52

< 0.001

4th Secondary

2010/5–2012/7

65.28

5

4178

1430.65

2.92

1748.52

2.96

< 0.001

5th Secondary

2008/5–2009/7

106.00

10

4406

1834.70

2.40

1304.78

2.43

< 0.001

6th Secondary

2011/4–2012/7

56.64

6

4359

1963.44

2.22

1094.87

2.25

< 0.001

7th Secondary

2009/3–2011/6

43.22

3

1679

562.82

2.98

721.96

3.00

< 0.001

8th Secondary

2011/12–2012/8

0.00

1

879

215.04

4.09

574.71

4.10

< 0.001

9th Secondary

2011/5–2011/7

40.27

3

759

321.71

2.36

214.66

2.36

< 0.001

  1. ODE observed/expected, LLR log likelihood ratio, RR relative risk