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Fig. 2 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 2

From: The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium

Fig. 2

Calibration results. (a)-(b): Simulated and empirical incidence curves for the district of Brussels (panel a) and for the entire Belgium (panel b). The incidence curve of Brussels is the sole empirical data used for the calibration of the model. Different vertical axes referring to empirical (black curve, left axis) vs. simulated (red curve, right axis) incidences are used for the sake of comparison of the two curves. Different incidence values are due to unknown GP consultation rates characterising ILI surveillance data. (c)-(f): Probability distribution of the values of the reproductive number Rp computed in each patch following the calibration. They refer to the different day types explored, i.e. belonging to a regular weekday (panel c), regular weekend (d), holiday weekday (e), holiday weekend (f)

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