Table 4 Excess pneumonia and influenza mortality rate associated with influenza subtypes/lineages using different influenza proxies in registered Shanghai residents in 2010–2015, stratified by age
Excess P&I mortality rate per 100,000 population | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
<60 years of age | ≥60 years of age | ||||||||||||
Lag 0 | Lag 1 | Lag 2 | Lag 0 | Lag 1 | Lag 2 | ||||||||
ER | 95% CI | ER | 95% CI | ER | 95% CI | ER | 95% CI | ER | 95% CI | ER | 95% CI | ||
Proxy: positive number | |||||||||||||
A (H1N1) | 0.04 | (0.01, 0.06) | 0.04 | (0.01, 0.06) | 0.03 | (0, 0.05) | 0.4 | (0.12, 0.69) | 0.5 | (0.24, 0.76) | 0.46 | (0.22, 0.75) | |
A (H3N2) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.04) | 0.01 | (−0.02, 0.05) | 0.02 | (−0.01, 0.05) | 0.32 | (−0.09, 0.71) | 0.61 | (0.24, 0.98) | 0.72 | (0.32, 1.08) | |
B (Victoria) | −0.01 | (−0.06, 0.03) | −0.01 | (−0.06, 0.02) | 0 | (−0.04, 0.03) | −0.26 | (−0.69, 0.14) | −0.25 | (−0.65, 0.11) | −0.18 | (−0.58, 0.19) | |
B (Yamagata) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.03) | 0 | (−0.04, 0.03) | 0 | (−0.03, 0.03) | 0.19 | (−0.12, 0.5) | 0.32 | (0.01, 0.63) | 0.45 | (0.16, 0.73) | |
Influenza | 0.04 | (−0.04, 0.1) | 0.04 | (−0.04, 0.1) | 0.05 | (−0.02, 0.11) | 0.65 | (−0.13, 1.42) | 1.15 | (0.42, 1.85) | 1.41 | (0.75, 2.09) | |
Proxy: positive proportion | |||||||||||||
A (H1N1) | 0.04 | (0.01, 0.06) | 0.04 | (0.01, 0.06) | 0.03 | (0, 0.05) | 0.57 | (0.26, 0.86) | 0.63 | (0.34, 0.92) | 0.58 | (0.31, 0.85) | |
A (H3N2) | 0.01 | (−0.04, 0.05) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.05) | 0.03 | (−0.02, 0.06) | 0.46 | (−0.03, 0.96) | 0.74 | (0.28, 1.18) | 0.85 | (0.46, 1.3) | |
B (Victoria) | 0 | (−0.05, 0.04) | 0 | (−0.05, 0.04) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.05) | −0.04 | (−0.56, 0.4) | −0.12 | (−0.57, 0.32) | −0.31 | (−0.78, 0.11) | |
B (Yamagata) | 0 | (−0.04, 0.04) | −0.01 | (−0.04, 0.03) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.04) | 0.41 | (0.02, 0.82) | 0.47 | (0.09, 0.87) | 0.6 | (0.24, 0.95) | |
Influenza | 0.05 | (−0.06, 0.13) | 0.05 | (−0.06, 0.13) | 0.07 | (−0.01, 0.13) | 1.37 | (0.31, 2.35) | 1.67 | (0.78, 2.51) | 1.68 | (0.84, 2.51) | |
Proxy: LAB × ILI | |||||||||||||
A (H1N1) | 0.03 | (0, 0.05) | 0.03 | (0.01, 0.05) | 0.02 | (0, 0.04) | 0.41 | (0.17, 0.63) | 0.39 | (0.16, 0.59) | 0.36 | (0.15, 0.56) | |
A (H3N2) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.04) | 0.01 | (−0.02, 0.04) | 0.03 | (−0.01, 0.05) | 0.46 | (0.08, 0.82) | 0.66 | (0.31, 0.98) | 0.72 | (0.39, 1.05) | |
B (Victoria) | −0.01 | (−0.05, 0.03) | 0 | (−0.04, 0.03) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.04) | −0.11 | (−0.49, 0.25) | −0.21 | (−0.59, 0.13) | −0.4 | (−0.79, −0.06) | |
B (Yamagata) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.03) | 0 | (−0.03, 0.03) | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.03) | 0.35 | (0.01, 0.67) | 0.4 | (0.07, 0.7) | 0.5 | (0.2, 0.78) | |
Influenza | 0.03 | (−0.04, 0.09) | 0.04 | (−0.03, 0.09) | 0.06 | (−0.01, 0.1) | 1.08 | (0.4, 1.76) | 1.22 | (0.57, 1.81) | 1.17 | (0.55, 1.76) | |