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Table 4 Parameter estimates and 95% credible intervals for the joint model

From: Joint Bayesian modeling of time to malaria and mosquito abundance in Ethiopia

 

Parameter

Posterior mean

2.5%

97.5%

Abundance model

    

Intercept

β 0

3.28

3.04

3.52

S 1(r a i n(t))

β 1

6

5.73

6.27

S 2(r a i n(t))

β 2

0.67

0.59

0.74

Distance

β 3

-0.19

-0.20

-0.17

Temperature

β 4

-0.15

-0.16

-0.15

Relative humidity

β 5

0.0004

0.0002

0.0006

Corrugate roof

β 6

0.05

-0.07

0.17

Measurement error

σ

0.69

0.69

0.70

Time to event model

    

Age

θ 1

0.01

-0.03

0.05

Gender

θ 2

-0.04

-0.21

0.12

Association main effect

α 1

0.14

0.07

0.21

Association interaction

α 2

0.31

0.20

0.41

Hyper-parameters

    

Penalty

λ

0.0038

0.0017

0.0069

Random effect covariance

D 1,1

27.10

25.46

28.82

Random effect covariance

D 2,1

0.92

0.51

1.33

Random effect covariance

D 3,1

-0.82

-1.10

-0.55

Random effect covariance

D 2,2

3.05

2.85

3.27

Random effect covariance

D 3,2

0.81

0.71

0.92

Random effect covariance

D 3,3

1.40

1.31

1.50

DIC

398876

  1. D i,j denotes the ij-element of the covariance matrix for the random effects. We use a two week window to define the incidence I k(i)(t)