Fig. 1
From: Mortality along the continuum of HIV care in Rwanda: a model-based analysis
Panel 1a shows overall prevalence calibration (2003–2013) and projection (2014–2025). Dots and uncertainty bars represent prevalence estimates from UNAIDS (2003 and 2004) and DHS (2005, 2010, and 2013). Red line represents model prevalence, and the shaded area represents 25–75 percentile range from 100 model runs. Panel 1b shows calibration results of prevalence for 5-year age and gender groups. This figure shows that 7 years after the initial model setup, age- and gender-specific prevalence match estimates from the 2010 population-level DHS survey