Table 2 Results of main analyses and sensitivity analyses
From: Population seroprevalence of antibody to influenza A(H7N9) virus, Guangzhou, China
| Main analysis | Sensitivity analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative models including 2 specimens with HI and neutralization titers ≥40 | Main model with alternative prior for cumulative incidence | Main model including three specimens with HI titers ≥40 | ||||
| Model | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Estimated overall cumulative incidence, θ (%) |
0.43 (0.05, 1.32) |
0.52 (0.06, 1.59) |
0.17 (0.02, 0.50) |
0.41 (0.06, 1.22) |
0.40 (0.06, 1.17) |
0.43 (0.05, 1.32) |
| Estimated total number of infections |
55,385 (6503, 169,010) |
66,441 (7572, 204,113) |
21,638 (2910, 64,431) |
52,507 (7387, 156,391) |
51,644 (8091, 149,142) |
55,481 (6576, 168,665) |
| ISR (per 10,000 infections) |
5.90 (0.84, 25.11) |
5.02 (0.69, 21.68) |
14.17 (2.17, 56.43) |
5.66 (0.90, 22.40) |
5.82 (1.00, 21.71) |
5.89 (0.83, 24.83) |
| IFR (per 10,000 infections) |
4.07 (0.54, 17.41) |
3.45 (0.44, 15.13) |
9.75 (1.41, 39.48) |
3.89 (0.58, 15.69) |
4.11 (0.68, 15.68) |
4.06 (0.54, 17.49) |