Fig. 4
From: Influence of social contact patterns and demographic factors on influenza simulation results
Simulation results for the annual incidence of influenza infections per 100,000 individuals without vaccination in eight countries (black: children (C) 0–17 years, dark grey: adults (A) 18–64 years; light grey: elderly (E) 65+ years). a original combination of each country’s demography and contact matrix (coefficient of variation [CV] for C: 17.8 %, A: 12.3 %, E: 20.5 %, all: 11.8 %); b combining the Finnish demography with each country’s contact matrix (CV for C: 6.5 %, A: 7.0 %, E: 16.5 %, all: 7.8 %); c combining each country’s demography with the Belgian contact matrix (CV for C: 15.3 %, A: 4.1 %, E: 14.6 %, all: 3.2 %). Comparing the variability in the three graphs (either by age group or for the total), using Brown-Forsythe-Test, yielded non-significant results (p > 0.05). For each set of simulation parameters, averages of 1000 simulations running for 20 years were calculated