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Fig. 4 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 4

From: A spatial model of Wild Poliovirus Type 1 in Kano State, Nigeria: calibration and assessment of elimination probability

Fig. 4

Calibration of the spatial polio-like model. a Log-score (color) vs. R0 and campaign coverage. b Log-score (color) vs. R0 and RI coverage. c Log-score (color) vs. scaling term in the migration model (x) and LGA-level coefficient of variation in campaign coverage. d Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99 % quantiles in red) for time series of case counts. e Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99 % quantiles in red) for the number of LGAs reporting at least 1 case in a given time period. f Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99 % quantiles in red) for distribution of annual case counts among the 44 LGAs

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