Fig. 3From: A spatial model of Wild Poliovirus Type 1 in Kano State, Nigeria: calibration and assessment of elimination probabilityCalibration of SEIR model w age-dependent transmission and seasonal forcing. a Log-score (color) vs. incubation and infectious periods. b Log-score vs. R0 and campaign coverage. c Log-score (color) vs. the phase and amplitude of seasonal forcing in infectivity. d Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99Â % quantiles in red) for age distribution of paralysis cases. e Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99Â % quantiles in red) for time series of case countsBack to article page