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Fig. 3 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 3

From: A spatial model of Wild Poliovirus Type 1 in Kano State, Nigeria: calibration and assessment of elimination probability

Fig. 3

Calibration of SEIR model w age-dependent transmission and seasonal forcing. a Log-score (color) vs. incubation and infectious periods. b Log-score vs. R0 and campaign coverage. c Log-score (color) vs. the phase and amplitude of seasonal forcing in infectivity. d Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99 % quantiles in red) for age distribution of paralysis cases. e Data (blue) and score-weighted distribution of simulations (68, 95, 99 % quantiles in red) for time series of case counts

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