Fig. 4From: Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)Real-time assessment of the predictive performance of MERS importation. Area Under the Curve (AUC) is compared as a function of time of prediction. Two different models (i.e., effective distance only and the model with all pieces of information) were used, and prediction was performed every six months. Whiskers extend to lower and upper 95Â % confidence intervalsBack to article page