Skip to main content

Table 3 Median forecasted start week, peak week, peak percentage, and duration of the 2013–14 influenza season, by forecast date, United States (n = 13)

From: Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Challenge

Date of forecast (Week of ILINet data availabilitya,b)

Median forecasted start weekb

Median forecasted peak weekb

Median forecasted peak percentage

Median forecasted duration of influenza season

12/2/2013 (WK. 46)

50

5

3.5

13

12/19/2013 (WK. 49)

49

3

4.5

14

1/2/2014 (WK. 51)

48

3

4.5

15

1/16/2014 (WK.1)

48

2

4.9

14

1/30/2014 (WK. 3)

48

52

4.6

14

2/13/2014 (WK. 5)

48

52

4.6

13

2/27/2014 (WK. 7)

48

52

4.6

13

3/13/2014 (WK. 9)

48

52

4.6

14

3/27/2014 (WK. 11)

48

52

4.6

14

  1. Legend: Forecasts presented here are from the 9 teams that successfully completed the CDC Predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Challenge
  2. aILINet data are based on a reporting week that starts on Sunday and ends on Saturday of each week, and data are reported out through the FluView surveillance report the following Friday. Therefore, the most current ILINet data can lag the calendar date by 1–2 weeks
  3. bWeeks are given in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report surveillance weeks. For calendar start and end dates of each week, please see http://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/script/downloads.aspx
Back to article page

BMC Infectious Diseases

ISSN: 1471-2334

Contact us