Skip to main content

Advertisement

Table 4 Percentage of realizations leading to an attack rate higher than 10 % , for the different mitigation strategies with several closure-triggering thresholds and closure durations

From: Mitigation of infectious disease at school: targeted class closure vs school closure

Closure strategy Targeted Targeted Whole
(threshold, duration) class grade school
No closure 65.9 65.9 65.9
3, 24 h 65.0 62.4 64.1
3, 48 h 58.7 59.0 58.9
3, 72 h 58.0 57.4 53.7
3, 96 h 58.1 56.3 44.0
3, 120 h 56.4 51.2 38.9
3, 144 h 55.3 51.0 38.7
2, 24 h 65.7 59.0 60.7
2, 48 h 57.3 56.1 53.2
2, 72 h 49.7 49.5 45.3
2, 96 h 46.7 46.2 43.3
2, 120 h 44.0 37.7 35.9
2, 144 h 41.5 36.8 31.7
  1. The baseline case given by the simple isolation of symptomatic children is indicated as “No closure”. Parameter values: β = 3.5 · 10-4 s -1, β com = 1.4 · 10-8 s -1, 1/ μ = 2 days, 1/ γ = 4 days, p A = 1/3.