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Table 3 Case fatality, mortality rate and risk of death by month since starting TB treatment for first TB episodes, by HIV status

From: Timing, rates, and causes of death in a large South African tuberculosis programme

HIV/ART status

Time on treatment 1

n

Number of deaths

Cumulative case fatality (%)

Person months

Rate per 100 pm (95% CI)

IRR (95% CI)

p-value for trend

        

<0.01

HIV negative or unknown

1st month

1124

10

0.9

1117

0.9 (0.5-1.7)

1.0

 

2nd month

1114

8

1.6

1109

0.7 (0.4-1.4)

0.81 (0.32-2.04)

 

3rd-6th month

1106

11

2.6

4401

0.2 (0.1-0.5)

0.28 (0.12-0.66)

 

Overall

1124

29

2.6

6627

0.4 (0.3-0.7)

  
        

0.98

HIV positive on ART

1st month

375

15

4.0

367

4.1 (2.5-6.8)

1.0

 

2nd month

360

2

4.5

358

0.6 (0.1-2.2)

0.14 (0.03-0.60)

 

3rd-6th month

358

28

12.0

1372

2.0 (1.4-3.0)

0.50 (0.27-0.94)

 

Overall

375

45

12.0

2097

2.1 (1.6-2.9)

  
        

0.22

HIV positive not on ART

1st month

1671

46

2.8

1647

2.8 (2.1-3.7)

1.0

 

2nd month

1625

40

5.1

1604

2.5 (1.8-3.4)

0.89 (0.58-1.36)

 

3rd-6th month

1585

148

14.0

6054

2.4 (2.1-2.9)

0.88 (0.63-1.22)

 

Overall

1671

234

14.0

9306

2.5 (2.2-2.9)

  
  1. 1Months 3–6 were grouped because mortality rates were observed to be stable in new TB episodes during this time period and the numbers of deaths were small.