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Table 2 Comparison of model output with available data

From: How to optimize tuberculosis case finding: explorations for Indonesia with a health system model

 

Existing data

Model output

Mean duration from the first TB symptoms to treatment (weeks)

10.3a

9.3

Proportion (%) of all TB-cases detected as smear positive through DOTS services

39 – 52b

48.0

Proportion (%) of TB patients in the DOTS services eventually cured

81.0c

72.3

Proportion (%) of all TB cases that eventually die

22 – 29d

16.6

  1. Model output and data concern symptomatic pulmonary TB cases; both smear positive and part of smear negatives, with symptoms serious enough to potentially prompt them to seek health care.
  2. a based on an Indonesian TB prevalence survey in 2004 [7].
  3. b based on smear positive cases detected in Jogjakarta province TB program, assuming that all smear positive and between 10%–40% smear negative TB cases are symptomatic.
  4. c the reported cure rate from Jogjakarta provincial TB program in 2005 [9].
  5. d based on the WHO estimated death rate for Indonesia as a whole, after correction for 20% extra-pulmonary TB and a 40% lower death rate in Jogjakarta Province [1].