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Table 4 Costs (in US$) and Cost-effectiveness (in US$) of screening 1000 TB suspects, comparing AFB smear plus Culture and AFB smear plus PCR dot-blot.

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of PCR for the rapid diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis

 

AFB smear plus Culture

AFB smear plus PCR dot-blot

Total number of accurately diagnosed cases of TB

111

109

Total number correctly diagnosed cases of non TB

148

127

False positives

1

22

False negatives

17

19

Estimate of false negatives in 1000 TB suspects

133 (13.3%)

148 (14.8%)

Estimate of cases of TB (5%) using the estimative of transmission of false negatives in 1000 TB suspects

66,5

74

4. A Total Costs

(US$)

(US$)

Total Health Service Costs

5,444,960

1,464,660

Total Patient Costs

190,800

34,000

Total Screening Costs

5,635,760

1,498,660

Total Screening Costs per patient

5,635

1,498

4. B Cost-effectiveness of screening of 1000 suspects

  

Cost per accurately diagnosed case of TB

50,773

13,749

Cost per accurately diagnosed case of TB, considering only health service costs

49,053

13,437

Cost per accurately diagnosed case of TB, considering only patient cost

1,720

312

Cost of treating all correctly diagnosed TB cases (true positives cases) (ambulatory/outpatients)

176,338

92,523

Cost of treating all correctly diagnosed TB cases (true positives cases)

(hospital/inpatients)

298,187

53,087

Cost of treating all falsely diagnosed TB cases (false positives cases) (ambulatory/outpatients)

1,589

18,674

Cost of treating all falsely diagnosed TB cases (false positives cases) (hospital/inpatients)

2,686

10,715

Cost per case of TB correctly diagnosed and case of TB falsely diagnosed and treated (true positives and false positives) a

50,319

11,440

Cost of treatment of false negatives cases of TB (Treatment costs vs false negative cases)

72,675

25,382

Cost per case of non-TB correctly and incorrectly diagnosed and not treated

(true negatives and false negatives)

34,156

10,260

Cost of return of all false negatives to the health service (Estimate of cases of TB (5%) using the estimative of transmission of false negatives in 1000 TB suspects vs Total Screening Costs b

374,778,045

110,900,055

  1. a including treatment of falsely diagnosed cases, b assuming that one false negative transmits TB to 10 individuals and these 5% have TB and the cost-effectiveness was expressed for 1000 suspects [35]