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Table 3 Summary of validation statistics for predicting continuous PfPR2-10 in Kenya based on a validation set of 210 data points.

From: The risks of malaria infection in Kenya in 2009

Validation measure

 

Linear correlation coefficient of predicted versus observed

0.81

Mean error (% PfPR2-10)

-0.15

Mean absolute error (% PfPR2-10)

0.38

  1. Mean error is a measure of the bias of predictions (the overall tendency to over or under predict) whilst mean absolute error is a measure of overall precision (the average magnitude of error in individual predictions).