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Table 2 The observed* and expected* number of pulmonary tuberculosis positive migrants by month in Kuwait; Jan 1, 1997 to Dec 31, 2006.

From: Seasonality in pulmonary tuberculosis among migrant workers entering Kuwait

 

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Observed

396

394

466

453

439

428

396

378

335

260

330

333

Expected

374

414

446

462

456

432

394

354

322

306

312

336

  1. * The month-specific observed number of cases is weighted by the average monthly number of migrants tested (i.e. observed proportion of TB positives in given month × average monthly number of workers tested during the entire study period; i.e. N/12). Subsequently weighted number of observed cases was re-adjusted to have total weighted number of TB cases equal to total number of actual observed cases.
  2. (e.g. For January observed weighted number of cases = [(206/100,000) × 194049] = 400.292 400 (after rounding down)
  3. For January, re-adjusted observed weighted number of cases = (400/4659) × 4608 = 396
  4. where; 4659 is the total observed weighted number of cases calculated from January through December by rounding up or down as required and 4608 are actual number of observed cases in the study..
  5. The expected (calculated for the best simple harmonic curve) number of cases has been adjusted by the number of days in the month χ 2 = 0.224; df = 11 P > 0.1