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Table 4 Predicted cumulative number of deaths attributable to HAV, with and without including the cohort effect in the dynamic model.

From: Cohort effects in dynamic models and their impact on vaccination programmes: an example from Hepatitis A

 

Cumulative number of deaths

 

Over 20 years (2006–2025)

Over 50 years (2006–2055)

 

Without cohort effect

With cohort effect

Without cohort effect

With cohort effect

Age Class

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination

0–4

7.6

12.3

6.8

9.5

18.5

30.8

16.2

22.9

5–9

5.0

15.7

4.4

12.1

10.5

39.2

9.2

29.3

10–19

9.9

19.9

8.5

14.9

17.9

49.6

15.5

36.0

20–29

13.5

21.3

11.3

15.3

23.7

53.2

19.7

36.6

30–39

17.0

27.1

13.9

19.0

33.9

67.7

27.5

45.5

40–59

48.9

79.2

33.6

46.8

109.7

198.0

81.7

122.7

60+

159.6

265.6

59.3

85.6

367.7

664.0

205.5

311.4

All Ages

261.6

441.0

137.9

203.2

581.8

1102.5

375.3

604.5