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Table 4 Predicted cumulative number of deaths attributable to HAV, with and without including the cohort effect in the dynamic model.

From: Cohort effects in dynamic models and their impact on vaccination programmes: an example from Hepatitis A

  Cumulative number of deaths
  Over 20 years (2006–2025) Over 50 years (2006–2055)
  Without cohort effect With cohort effect Without cohort effect With cohort effect
Age Class Vaccination No vaccination Vaccination No vaccination Vaccination No vaccination Vaccination No vaccination
0–4 7.6 12.3 6.8 9.5 18.5 30.8 16.2 22.9
5–9 5.0 15.7 4.4 12.1 10.5 39.2 9.2 29.3
10–19 9.9 19.9 8.5 14.9 17.9 49.6 15.5 36.0
20–29 13.5 21.3 11.3 15.3 23.7 53.2 19.7 36.6
30–39 17.0 27.1 13.9 19.0 33.9 67.7 27.5 45.5
40–59 48.9 79.2 33.6 46.8 109.7 198.0 81.7 122.7
60+ 159.6 265.6 59.3 85.6 367.7 664.0 205.5 311.4
All Ages 261.6 441.0 137.9 203.2 581.8 1102.5 375.3 604.5