Pair | Variantx | Varianty | Δ (bases) | Description of epidemiological link | a | b | Probability of transmission link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1A | 1A | 0 | Doctor exposed on affected ward then worked on another ward while ill. Outbreak began on this ward 1 day later. | 1.0 | 0.38 (23/60) | 72% |
2 | 3D | 3E | 3* | Transfer from nursing home into hospital (ward unspecified) | 0.004 | 0.016 (1/60) | 20% |
3 | 1H | 2M | 4** | Transfer from hospital to nursing home of primary case | 0.001 | 0.016 (1/60) | 6% |
4 | 1A | 1A | 0 | Transfer from hospital to nursing home | 1.0 | 0.38 (23/60) | 72% |
5 | 1A | 1A | 0 | Transfer of patient from hospital affected to unaffected wards | 1.0 | 0.38 (23/60) | 72% |