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Table 3 Estimate of the future incidence of vCJD (2003–2080) compared to the UK. Mean and 95% confidence intervals in brackets.

From: vCJD risk in the Republic of Ireland

  Fit to UK vCJD case data alone Fit to UK vCJD case data and UK prevalence data simultaneously
Republic of Ireland 0.8 (0–15) 2 (0–46)
UK 40 (9–540) 100 (10–2,600)
Fit of the model (-2LnL) 17.84 26.3