Table 3 Estimate of the future incidence of vCJD (2003–2080) compared to the UK. Mean and 95% confidence intervals in brackets.
Fit to UK vCJD case data alone | Fit to UK vCJD case data and UK prevalence data simultaneously | |
|---|---|---|
Republic of Ireland | 0.8 (0–15) | 2 (0–46) |
UK | 40 (9–540) | 100 (10–2,600) |
Fit of the model (-2LnL) | 17.84 | 26.3 |