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Table 2 Mean estimated T s and R 0 , from 100 stochastic realisations using an rt-PCR test

From: Surveillance of low pathogenic novel H7N9 avian influenza in commercial poultry barns: detection of outbreaks and estimation of virus introduction time

Day of entry R 0 10 R 0 7 R 0 5 R 0 3
0 -0.2 (-1.7, 1.2) -0.6 (- 7.8, 1.8) -0.8 (-2.8, 1.5) -0.3 (-1.4, 0.5)
  10.5 (9.6, 12.0) 7.2 (6.9, 7.8) 5.0 (4.9, 5.8) 3.0 (2.9, 3.1)
7 7.1 (5.9, 8.5) 7.1 (5.8, 8.8) 7.0 (6.1, 7.8) 6.8 (5.6, 8.1)
  10.5 (9.0, 12.0) 6.9 (6.3, 8.1) 5.0 (4.8, 5.21) 2.9 (2.8, 3.1)
20 20.1 (18.3, 22.1) 20.0 (18.9, 21.0) 20.0 (18.1, 20.9) 19.4 (18.5, 21.9)
  10.5 (8.4, 13.8) 6.9 (6.3, 7.5) 4.8 (4,5, 5.1) 3.0 (2.9, 3.2)
  1. Mean lower and upper 95% confidence intervals for each estimate are indicated in brackets. The upper estimate in each row refers to the estimate of T s and the lower is the estimate of R 0.