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Table 2 Mean estimated T s and R 0 , from 100 stochastic realisations using an rt-PCR test

From: Surveillance of low pathogenic novel H7N9 avian influenza in commercial poultry barns: detection of outbreaks and estimation of virus introduction time

Day of entry

R 0 10

R 0 7

R 0 5

R 0 3

0

-0.2 (-1.7, 1.2)

-0.6 (- 7.8, 1.8)

-0.8 (-2.8, 1.5)

-0.3 (-1.4, 0.5)

 

10.5 (9.6, 12.0)

7.2 (6.9, 7.8)

5.0 (4.9, 5.8)

3.0 (2.9, 3.1)

7

7.1 (5.9, 8.5)

7.1 (5.8, 8.8)

7.0 (6.1, 7.8)

6.8 (5.6, 8.1)

 

10.5 (9.0, 12.0)

6.9 (6.3, 8.1)

5.0 (4.8, 5.21)

2.9 (2.8, 3.1)

20

20.1 (18.3, 22.1)

20.0 (18.9, 21.0)

20.0 (18.1, 20.9)

19.4 (18.5, 21.9)

 

10.5 (8.4, 13.8)

6.9 (6.3, 7.5)

4.8 (4,5, 5.1)

3.0 (2.9, 3.2)

  1. Mean lower and upper 95% confidence intervals for each estimate are indicated in brackets. The upper estimate in each row refers to the estimate of T s and the lower is the estimate of R 0.