From: The potential impact of HPV-16 reactivation on prevalence in older Australians
Model | Â | Prior | Â | Posterior | Â |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parameter | Symbol | Specification | Refs. | Mean | SD |
 |  Natural history parameters | ||||
Probability of HPV-16 transmission | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
From female to male | β w m | U(0.10,1.00) | [25] | 0.92 | 0.03 |
From male to female | β m w | U(0.10,1.00) | [25] | 0.93 | 0.03 |
Rate of clearance of HPV-16 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
For women under 30 | c w1 | U(0.50,1.17) | 0.59 | 0.05 | |
For women over 30 | c w2 | U(0.50,1.17) | 0.60 | 0.05 | |
For men under 30 | c m1 | U(0.55,1.66) | 0.62 | 0.03 | |
For men over 30 | c m2 | U(0.55,1.66) | 0.63 | 0.03 | |
Probability of becoming latently infected | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
For women | p w | U(0.01,1.00) | n/a | 0.11 | 0.04 |
For men | p m | U(0.01,1.00) | n/a | 0.09 | 0.05 |
Rate of loss of immunity | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
For women under 30 | w w1 | U(0.01,2.00) | n/a | 1.65 | 0.16 |
For women over 30 | w w2 | U(0.01,2.00) | n/a | 1.67 | 0.15 |
For men under 30 | w m1 | U(0.01,2.00) | n/a | 1.78 | 0.14 |
For men over 30 | w m2 | U(0.01,2.00) | n/a | 1.82 | 0.10 |
 | Sexual behaviour parameters | ||||
Degree of assortativity | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
By age group | ε a | U(0.05,0.95) | n/a | 0.27 | 0.22 |
By sexual activity group | ε s | U(0.05,0.95) | n/a | 0.64 | 0.21 |