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Table 2 Factors affecting temporal trends in HFRS incidence for Shuangyang County, and for the combined other nine counties, Changchun

From: Increasing incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome could be associated with livestock husbandry in Changchun, Northeastern China

County

Variable (unit)

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

 

PC (95% CI)

P-value

PC (95% CI)

P-value

Shuangyang

Livestock husbandry

    
 

  Large animals (10 h/km2)

45.0 (42.2, 47.8)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Sheep density (10 h/km2)

1154.0 (978.0, 1358.8)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Deer density (10 h/km2)

70.7 (65.8, 75.7)

< 0.001

70.7 (65.8, 75.7)

< 0.001

 

Climate factors

    
 

  Temperature (1°C)

61.9 (49.9, 74.8)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Precipitation (1 mm)

-35.2 (-37.8, -32.4)

< 0.001

  
 

  Relative humidity (%)

-3.2 (-3.8, -2.5)

< 0.001

-

-

Other nine counties

Livestock husbandry

    
 

  Large animals (10 h/km2)

26.8 (24.9, 28.8)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Sheep density (10 h/km2)

68.6 (63.0, 74.5)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Deer density (1 h/km2)

76.4 (69.0, 84.1)

< 0.001

90.4 (81.6, 99.6)

< 0.001

 

Climate factors

    
 

  Temperature (1°C)

4.8 (0.02, 9.7)

0. 049

-

-

 

  Precipitation (1 mm)

-1.1 (-1.6, -0.7)

< 0.001

-

-

 

  Relative humidity (%)

-6.1 (-7.6, -4.5)

< 0.001

7.1 (5.1, 9.0)

< 0.001

  1. Time-series Poisson regression analysis results.