Table 1 Summary of selected variables significantly correlated with 2010 HIV prevalence

Dependent variable

HIV_Y10

Estimated HIV prevalence, 2010 (%)

11.65

6.00

22.40

4.32

1.000

2010 HIV/syphilis report, NAC 2011

Socio-demographic

POPDEN08^a

Persons per km², 2008

433.94

36.00

3006.00

797.20

0.474***

1998 census, NSO 2008

ED_S_PRIM^a

Attended senior primary sch. (%)

29.068

19.70

45.10

6.180

-0.445***

WMS 2011, NSO 2012

MIGRGROSS^a

Gross migration (in and out migration), 2008 (%)

35.839

19.00

102.00

18.817

0.376**

1998 census, NSO 2008

UNEMP_FEM^a

Unemployed female, 2011 (%)

22.494

1.30

73.50

18.197

0.415*

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

POPP25_49

Population, age 25_49, 2008 (%)

44.958

41.50

56.00

3.949

0.309**

1998 census, NSO 2008

URB_DISTR^a

District share of total urban population, 2008 (%)

3.213

0.00

33.7.00

8.160

0.382**

1998 census, NSO 2008

CONSUME^a

Per capita consumption, 2011 (MK)

54076

26645

152907

28017

0.46**

IHS3, NSO 2012b

UNEMP_MALE

Unemployed male, 2011 (%)

19.77

2.20

63.20

16.133

0.320

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

HIV awareness and behavior

TEST_EVER2^a

Percentage that had taken an HIV test ever

66.542

51.50

84.50

7.833

510***

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

HTEST_POSS2^a

Percentage who know a confidential HIV test is possible

84.439

63.50

97.10

9.684

0.323*

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

Socio-biological

SYPHILIS^a

Proportion of women positive for syphilis (%, 2010)

0.285

0.03

1.32

0.268

0.462***

2010 HIV, syphilis report, NAC 2011

Geographic (proximity, access, exposure)

DIST_HF

Mean dist. to HF

18.915

4.00

38.60

8.790

-0.567***

GIS derived, 2001 HF data, MoH

Dist_HF30_44^a

Mean dist. to HF, age 30_44

16.161

5.90

34.30

6.898

0.365**

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

DIST_RD^a

Mean dist. to main roads (km)

6.224

1.00

16.40

3.489

-0.605***

GIS based, roads layer from Malawi Surveys Dept.

DISTCITY^a

Mean dist. to major city (km)

53.761

0.00

164.83

40.323

-0.540***

GIS based, cities map, NSO

T_RD30_44

Mean time to all-weather road, age 30_44 (min)

8.961

1.10

28.60

5.135

0.370**

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

T_TRANS30_44^a

Mean time to transport, age 30_44 (min)

12.329

4.40

25.20

4.882

0.396**

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a

DIST_HF45_59^a

Mean dist. to HF, age 45_59

13.542

5.30

33.3

4.307

0.302*

WMS 2011, NSO 2012a