Parameter description | Symbol | Prior | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Per-partnership probability of transmission from female to male used to calculate the force of infection λ. | β m | U(0.10-1.00) | [25] |
Per-partnership probability of transmission from male to female used to calculate the force of infection λ. | β f | U(0.10-1.00) | [25] |
Average duration of infection for males | Tin,m | U(0.60,1.70) | |
Average duration of infection for females | Tin,f | U(0.75,1.50) | |
Average rate of loss of immunity for males; defined as 1/Tim,m i.e. the inverse of the average duration of natural immunity for males | rli,m | U(0.01,0.33) (SIRS1, SIRS2); U(0.01,1.0) (SIRS3, SIRS4); | [31] (SIRS1, SIRS2); Not available (SIRS3, SIRS4); |
Average rate of loss of immunity for females; defined as 1/Tim,f i.e. the inverse of the of natural immunity for females | rli,f | U(0.01,0.33) (SIRS1, SIRS2); U(0.01,1.0) (SIRS3, SIRS4); | [31] (SIRS1, SIRS2); Not available (SIRS3, SIRS4); |
Probability of seroconversion for males | pm | U(0.01,0.30) | [15] |
Probability of seroconversion for females | pf | U(0.40,0.70) | [32] |
Average rate of seroreversion for males | rsr,m | U(0.01,0.10) | [33] |
Average rate of seroreversion for females | rsr,f | U(0.10,1.00) | |
Average degree of immunity for seropositive males | sm | U(0.00,1.00) | Not available |
Average degree of immunity for seropositive females | sf | U(0.10,1.00) | |
Average time to seroconversion for males (a proportion of Tin,m) | Tsc,m | U(0.50,0.95) | [15] |
Average time to conversion for females (a proportion of Tin,f) | Tsc,f | U(0.50,0.95) | |
Degree of assortativity by age group | ε a | U(0.10,0.90) | Not available |
Degree of assortativity by sexual activity group | ε r | U(0.10,0.90) | Not available |