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Table 6 Univariate predictors of incident TB

From: Burden of tuberculosis disease among adolescents in a rural cohort in Eastern Uganda

Determinant

Persons

Pyrs

Cases

Incidence (per 100,000 pyrs)

P-value (chi-square test)

Total

5000

5527

13

235

-

Follow up TST outcome *

     

Negative < 10 mm

2912

3323

1

30

 

Positive ≥ 10 mm

582

679

11

1620

<0.001

Not done/not read**

1506

1525

1

66

 

Baseline TST outcome

     

Negative < 10 mm

4179

4574

12

262

<0.001

Positive ≥ 10 mm

802

890

1

112

 

Prior diagnosis TB

     

No

4990

5517

13

236

-

Yes

10

11

0

0

 

Schooling status

     

In school

4678

5193

13

250

-

Out of school

322

335

0

0

 

Age group (years)

     

12-14

2339

2778

4

144

 

15-16

1482

1583

4

253

0.093

17-18

1179

1167

5

429

 

Sex

     

Male

2589

2898

10

345

 

Female

2411

2630

3

114

0.028

Education level

     

> 7 years

696

733

2

273

 

None

40

37

0

0

0.752

≤ 7 years

4264

4757

11

231

 

TB Contact during follow-up

     

No

4732

5196

11

212

0.019

Yes

268

331

2

604

 

Cough during follow-up

     

<14 days

2250

2602

5

192

 

None

2102

2307

6

260

0.917

≥14 days

500

581

2

344

 
  1. Abbreviation: Key: Pyrs Person years, TST Tuberculin Skin Test.
  2. Note:
  3. * One individual with TB during follow up had a positive TST of ≥10 mm at baseline;
  4. **Those with a positive TST at baseline were not given TST again at 1 year and 2 years of follow up.