Table 3 Summary of model predictions and tests for Changsha
From: Ecology and geography of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Changsha, China
Model testing | Sample size | No. of successes | Proportion of predicted area | Cumulative bino-mial probability | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Train | Test | ||||
NS | |||||
North predicts south | 162 | 165 | 131 | 0.3544 | <0.01 |
South predicts north | 165 | 162 | 151 | 0.5303 | <0.01 |
WE | |||||
West predicts east | 246 | 81 | 42 | 0.1806 | <0.01 |
East predicts west | 81 | 246 | 6 | 0.0582 | <0.01 |
DIAG | |||||
On predicts off | 157 | 170 | 121 | 0.3001 | <0.01 |
Off predicts on | 170 | 157 | 137 | 0.4576 | <0.01 |
Time | |||||
05-08 predicts 09 | 262 | 65 | 62 | 0.3792 | <0.01 |